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- Are Democrats Worried About Kamala?
Are Democrats Worried About Kamala?
Survey says --- yes. Also some fresh PA mail data.

I always say actions (spending, ads, etc) speak louder than public polls. If you want to know what someone’s internal polling shows just look at what they are doing. What Bob Casey is doing is running ads hugging Trump.
Bob Casey is running advertising about how close he could be to Trump, where he agrees with him, etc. When this ad alert hit my inbox this morning I almost fell out of my chair. Casey clearly believes that he needs to win some Trump voters if he is going to win. For the entirety of the Trump era Democrats have tried to use Trump against Republicans but now that the tides have turned they are faced with having to figure out how to handle a resurgent Trump.
It is clear Democratic internals on the Presidential particularly in PA must be much more pessimistic than we know.
Disclaimer: Dave McCormick, the next Senator from PA, is a client of mine and ColdSpark.
Vote By Mail
As we enter the home stretch we’re finally here and it’s clear Republicans are availing themselves of mail voting like never before. Here’s a quick summary of partisan composition in 2024 of requests and returns versus the past.
2020 | 2022 | |
---|---|---|
Requests | R+10.0 | R+21.3 |
Returns | R+18.8 | R+15.6 |