GOP Pushes Dem Reg Advantage Under 300k First Time Ever

Republicans had a monster week gaining +28k voters on the rolls versus Democrats +13k so an over 2:1 advantage for the GOP. There is NO historical precedence for this at all. Now the usual caveats apply that many (most) of these people were voting GOP just not registered as that so this is a lot of shifting but still always prefer to be the party gaining not losing. Also newly registered voters have a VERY high turnout propensity so these are likely coming into the electorate.

The PA electorate overall is now D+3.5, D+1.5 when you exclude inactive voters, and traditionally GOP turnout is higher than Dems so likely the actual electorate is somewhere between D+0.5 and R+1.5 at this point which is a BIG swing from the past.

The county breakdowns are about what you would expect. Biggest GOP gains are in the ancestral Dem heartlands as people continue to realign to the GOP by registration (though many have been voting GOP for years) and the smallest gains are in the suburban counties but still its notable for the GOP to be GAINING in Delaware, Montgomery, Dauphin, Chester, Bucks, Erie etc.

15 days to go…