New Data: Monster Week for GOP in PA

GOP Gains 12,760 voters this week. Outside chance Dem advantage falls under 300k in final update next week

Author

Mark Harris
October 15, 2024

Well. Well. The PA department of state was closed for the holiday yesterday so we didn’t get new data on our usual Monday but we did get it today and its HOT for the GOP.

Republicans 3,646,110 (+22,188)
Democrats 3,958,835 (+9,428)
Independents / Unaffiliated / 3rd Party 1,431,888 (+8,893)

GOP gained in 64/67 counties. They only lost marginally in Philadelphia (-919), Allegheny (-236), Centre (-25). Biggest gain by % was Jefferson which got 0.62 points redder in ONE WEEK, Butler, Susquehanna, and Clinton all got 0.5 points redder.

I suspect the Butler move is related to Trump’s rally there which would’ve fallen during this data collection period.

By raw votes Butler led with 807, then Lancaster +716, Westmoreland +709, York +703, Berks +610, Bucks +569.